How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kyustendil, at 40.7%. The other outcomes represent 59.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.7% · Draw: 24.1% · Away win: 35.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kyustendil 1458; Botev Ihtiman 1510. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Third League - Southwest · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 12:00
Kyustendil
Elo 1458
1
-
0
Botev Ihtiman
Elo 1510
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-52
Elo rating comparison
Kyustendil1458
Botev Ihtiman1510
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Kyustendil
—Draws
—Botev Ihtiman
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
41%
Draw
24%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
39%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.