How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FK Minyor Pernik, at 65.7%. The other outcomes represent 34.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 65.7% · Draw: 18.8% · Away win: 15.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FK Minyor Pernik 1651; Kostinbrod 1519. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Third League - Southwest · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 12:00
FK Minyor Pernik
Elo 1651
3
-
0
Kostinbrod
Elo 1519
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+132
Elo rating comparison
FK Minyor Pernik1651
Kostinbrod1519
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—FK Minyor Pernik
—Draws
—Kostinbrod
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
CORRECT
Home
66%
Draw
19%
Away
15%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
35%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.