How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Pirin Razlog, at 36.7%. The other outcomes represent 63.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.7% · Draw: 26.7% · Away win: 36.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pirin Razlog 1364; Balkan Botevgrad 1490. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–5. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Third League - Southwest · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 12:00
Pirin Razlog
Elo 1364
0
-
5
Balkan Botevgrad
Elo 1490
FT
HT 0-3
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-127
Elo rating comparison
Pirin Razlog1364
Balkan Botevgrad1490
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Pirin Razlog
—Draws
—Balkan Botevgrad
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
27%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
39%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.