How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Zimbru, at 73.4%. The other outcomes represent 26.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 73.4% · Draw: 17.5% · Away win: 9.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Zimbru 1904; Oguzsport 1503. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 6–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Cupa · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 14:00
Zimbru
Elo 1904
6
-
0
Oguzsport
Elo 1503
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+402
Elo rating comparison
Zimbru1904
Oguzsport1503
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Zimbru
—Draws
—Oguzsport
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
73% conf.
CORRECT
Home
73%
Draw
17%
Away
9%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Half-Time Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
57%
Draw
32%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.