How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sparta Praha, at 67.9%. The other outcomes represent 32.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 67.9% · Draw: 17.5% · Away win: 14.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sparta Praha 2100; Baník Ostrava 1883. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Cup · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 17:30
Sparta Praha
Elo 2100
0
-
2
Baník Ostrava
Elo 1883
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
+217
H2H (5)
1H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Sparta Praha2100
Baník Ostrava1883
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Sparta Praha
4Draws
0Baník Ostrava
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
WRONG
Home
68%
Draw
18%
Away
15%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
41%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.