How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sutjeska, at 68.4%. The other outcomes represent 31.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 68.4% · Draw: 18% · Away win: 13.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sutjeska 1729; Jezero 1606. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
First League · Thursday, Oct 29 2026
· 13:00
Sutjeska
Elo 1729
2
-
2
Jezero
Elo 1606
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+123
H2H (6)
0H
6D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Sutjeska1729
Jezero1606
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Sutjeska
6Draws
0Jezero
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
WRONG
Home
68%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
37%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.