How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lask Linz, at 49.3%. The other outcomes represent 50.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.3% · Draw: 17.8% · Away win: 32.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lask Linz 2053; Ried 1907. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Cup · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 19:30
Lask Linz
Elo 2053
5
-
4
Ried
Elo 1907
AET
FT 90' 3-3
ET 5-4
HT 0-1
Predictions evaluated on 90-minute result
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+146
H2H (6)
3H
3D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Lask Linz2053
Ried1907
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3Lask Linz
3Draws
0Ried
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
18%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
33%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.