How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Budapest Honved, at 46.4%. The other outcomes represent 53.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.6% · Draw: 23% · Away win: 46.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Gyirmot SE 1870; Budapest Honved 1913. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Magyar Kupa · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 18:00
Gyirmot SE
Elo 1870
3
-
1
Budapest Honved
Elo 1913
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-44
Elo rating comparison
Gyirmot SE1870
Budapest Honved1913
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Gyirmot SE
—Draws
—Budapest Honved
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
23%
Away
46%
Both Teams to Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
26%
Draw
38%
Away
36%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.