Szentlőrinc SE vs Vasas

Magyar Kupa · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 · 11:30

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Vasas, at 63.6%. The other outcomes represent 36.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 18.7% · Draw: 17.7% · Away win: 63.6%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Szentlőrinc SE 1763; Vasas 1967. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 3–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Magyar Kupa · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026 · 11:30
Szentlőrinc SE
Elo 1763
3 - 4
Vasas
Elo 1967
FT HT 2-2
Home Form (5)
2W 1D 2L
Away Form (5)
2W 1D 2L
Elo Advantage
-204
H2H (2)
0H 0D 2A

Elo rating comparison

Szentlőrinc SE1763
Vasas1967

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

0Szentlőrinc SE
0Draws
2Vasas

2 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
64% conf. CORRECT
Home
19%
Draw
18%
Away
64%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf. CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf. CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
90% conf. CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf. CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
82% conf. CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Half-Time Result
52% conf. WRONG
Home
19%
Draw
29%
Away
52%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf. WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf. CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf. WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf. CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf. CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf. WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf. CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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