How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gaziantep FK, at 48.2%. The other outcomes represent 51.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 28.9% · Draw: 22.9% · Away win: 48.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Etimesgut SK 1616; Gaziantep FK 1820. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Türkiye Kupası · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 10:30
Etimesgut SK
Elo 1616
0
-
4
Gaziantep FK
Elo 1820
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
-204
Elo rating comparison
Etimesgut SK1616
Gaziantep FK1820
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Etimesgut SK
—Draws
—Gaziantep FK
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
29%
Draw
23%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
37%
Away
36%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.