How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Menemen Belediyespor, at 44.1%. The other outcomes represent 55.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.1% · Draw: 27.4% · Away win: 28.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Menemen Belediyespor 1630; Karacabey Belediyespor 1651. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Türkiye Kupası · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 10:30
Menemen Belediyespor
Elo 1630
0
-
1
Karacabey Belediyespor
Elo 1651
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-21
Elo rating comparison
Menemen Belediyespor1630
Karacabey Belediyespor1651
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Menemen Belediyespor
—Draws
—Karacabey Belediyespor
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
27%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
34%
Draw
41%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.