How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Aliağa FAŞ, at 63.9%. The other outcomes represent 36.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.9% · Draw: 14.2% · Away win: 63.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pazarspor 1588; Aliağa FAŞ 1793. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Türkiye Kupası · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 10:30
Pazarspor
Elo 1588
0
-
1
Aliağa FAŞ
Elo 1793
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-205
Elo rating comparison
Pazarspor1588
Aliağa FAŞ1793
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Pazarspor
—Draws
—Aliağa FAŞ
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
CORRECT
Home
22%
Draw
14%
Away
64%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
22%
Draw
33%
Away
44%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.