How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Benfica U19, at 72.2%. The other outcomes represent 27.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 72.2% · Draw: 16.6% · Away win: 11.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Benfica U19 1834; Pafos U19 1423. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 6–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Youth League · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 16:00
Benfica U19
Elo 1834
6
-
0
Pafos U19
Elo 1423
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
+411
Elo rating comparison
Benfica U191834
Pafos U191423
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Benfica U19
—Draws
—Pafos U19
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
72% conf.
CORRECT
Home
72%
Draw
17%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
66% conf.
WRONG
Home
66%
Draw
25%
Away
9%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.