How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kongsvinger, at 67.1%. The other outcomes represent 32.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 19.5% · Draw: 13.4% · Away win: 67.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pors Grenland 1624; Kongsvinger 1918. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NM Cupen · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 17:00
Pors Grenland
Elo 1624
3
-
1
Kongsvinger
Elo 1918
AET
FT 90' 1-1
ET 3-1
HT 1-0
Predictions evaluated on 90-minute result
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-293
Elo rating comparison
Pors Grenland1624
Kongsvinger1918
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Pors Grenland
—Draws
—Kongsvinger
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
67% conf.
WRONG
Home
19%
Draw
13%
Away
67%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
24%
Draw
35%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.