How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Nordsjaelland, at 68.7%. The other outcomes represent 31.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 16.1% · Draw: 15.2% · Away win: 68.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Esbjerg 1849; FC Nordsjaelland 2049. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
DBU Pokalen · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 16:00
Esbjerg
Elo 1849
0
-
1
FC Nordsjaelland
Elo 2049
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-200
Elo rating comparison
Esbjerg1849
FC Nordsjaelland2049
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Esbjerg
—Draws
—FC Nordsjaelland
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
CORRECT
Home
16%
Draw
15%
Away
69%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
21%
Draw
34%
Away
45%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.