How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lillestrom, at 71.5%. The other outcomes represent 28.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 71.5% · Draw: 18% · Away win: 10.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lillestrom 1951; Sogndal 1701. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NM Cupen · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 17:00
Lillestrom
Elo 1951
2
-
1
Sogndal
Elo 1701
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+250
Elo rating comparison
Lillestrom1951
Sogndal1701
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Lillestrom
—Draws
—Sogndal
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
71% conf.
CORRECT
Home
71%
Draw
18%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
Draw
36%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.