How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Chelsea W, at 75.0%. The other outcomes represent 25.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 75% · Draw: 15.2% · Away win: 9.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Chelsea W 2220; Roma W 2019. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Champions League Women · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 17:45
Chelsea W
Elo 2220
2
-
0
Roma W
Elo 2019
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+202
Elo rating comparison
Chelsea W2220
Roma W2019
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Chelsea W
—Draws
—Roma W
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
75% conf.
CORRECT
Home
75%
Draw
15%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
Draw
34%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.