How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Estudiantes La Plata Res, at 50.7%. The other outcomes represent 49.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.7% · Draw: 26.8% · Away win: 22.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Estudiantes La Plata Res 1618; Deportivo Riestra Res. 1515. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 18:00
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Elo 1618
1
-
1
Deportivo Riestra Res.
Elo 1515
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
+103
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Estudiantes La Plata Res1618
Deportivo Riestra Res.1515
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Estudiantes La Plata Res
0Draws
0Deportivo Riestra Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
39%
Draw
45%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.