How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gimnasia Mendoza 2, at 42.8%. The other outcomes represent 57.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.8% · Draw: 27.4% · Away win: 29.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Gimnasia Mendoza 2 1527; Unión Santa Fe Res. 1543. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 18:00
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Elo 1527
1
-
0
Unión Santa Fe Res.
Elo 1543
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-16
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Gimnasia Mendoza 21527
Unión Santa Fe Res.1543
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Gimnasia Mendoza 2
0Draws
0Unión Santa Fe Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
43%
Draw
27%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
43%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.