How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Quick Boys, at 71.8%. The other outcomes represent 28.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 71.8% · Draw: 17% · Away win: 11.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Quick Boys 1836; Eemdijk 1499. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
KNVB Beker · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 19:00
Quick Boys
Elo 1836
4
-
0
Eemdijk
Elo 1499
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+336
Elo rating comparison
Quick Boys1836
Eemdijk1499
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Quick Boys
—Draws
—Eemdijk
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
72% conf.
CORRECT
Home
72%
Draw
17%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Half-Time Result
54% conf.
CORRECT
Home
54%
Draw
35%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.