Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers

Premiership · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 · 20:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rangers, at 40.2%. The other outcomes represent 59.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 37.7% · Draw: 22.1% · Away win: 40.2%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Heart Of Midlothian 2005; Rangers 2079. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Premiership · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026 · 20:00
Heart Of Midlothian
Elo 2005
2 - 2
Rangers
Elo 2079
FT HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W 3D 1L
Away Form (5)
2W 2D 1L
Elo Advantage
-73
H2H (2)
2H 0D 0A

Elo rating comparison

Heart Of Midlothian2005
Rangers2079

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

2Heart Of Midlothian
0Draws
0Rangers

2 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
40% conf. WRONG
Home
38%
Draw
22%
Away
40%
Both Teams to Score
67% conf. CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf. CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf. CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
59% conf. CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Double Chance X2
61% conf. CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
37% conf. WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
37%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf. CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf. CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf. CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf. CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf. CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf. WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf. CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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