How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Porto, at 66.8%. The other outcomes represent 33.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 66.8% · Draw: 24% · Away win: 9.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Porto 2157; Academico Viseu 1814. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Taça da Liga · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 20:30
FC Porto
Elo 2157
1
-
0
Academico Viseu
Elo 1814
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+343
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
FC Porto2157
Academico Viseu1814
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4FC Porto
0Draws
0Academico Viseu
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
67% conf.
CORRECT
Home
67%
Draw
24%
Away
9%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
Draw
41%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.