How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Cajamarca, at 52.7%. The other outcomes represent 47.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.7% · Draw: 21.5% · Away win: 25.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Cajamarca 1523; UTC Cajamarca 1469. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 18:15
FC Cajamarca
Elo 1523
1
-
3
UTC Cajamarca
Elo 1469
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+54
H2H (4)
2H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
FC Cajamarca1523
UTC Cajamarca1469
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2FC Cajamarca
0Draws
2UTC Cajamarca
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
WRONG
Home
53%
Draw
21%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
36%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.