How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is 9 de Octubre, at 64.1%. The other outcomes represent 35.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.1% · Draw: 23.1% · Away win: 12.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: 9 de Octubre 1596; Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 1464. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 8–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Pro Serie B · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 19:00
9 de Octubre
Elo 1596
8
-
1
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
Elo 1464
FT
HT 5-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+132
H2H (5)
0H
5D
0A
Elo rating comparison
9 de Octubre1596
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors1464
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
09 de Octubre
5Draws
0Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
CORRECT
Home
64%
Draw
23%
Away
13%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
40%
Draw
47%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.