How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Independiente Riva. Res., at 38.3%. The other outcomes represent 61.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.9% · Draw: 25.7% · Away win: 38.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Central Córdoba SdE Res. 1354; Independiente Riva. Res. 1435. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 22:00
Central Córdoba SdE Res.
Elo 1354
0
-
1
Independiente Riva. Res.
Elo 1435
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-81
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Central Córdoba SdE Res.1354
Independiente Riva. Res.1435
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Central Córdoba SdE Res.
0Draws
2Independiente Riva. Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
36%
Draw
26%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
29%
Draw
45%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.