How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Inter Miami, at 60.3%. The other outcomes represent 39.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 60.3% · Draw: 18.4% · Away win: 21.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Inter Miami 1801; FC Cincinnati 1678. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Major League Soccer · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 23:30
Inter Miami
Elo 1801
2
-
2
FC Cincinnati
Elo 1678
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+122
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Inter Miami1801
FC Cincinnati1678
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Inter Miami
0Draws
0FC Cincinnati
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
WRONG
Home
60%
Draw
18%
Away
21%
Both Teams to Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
40%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.