How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Aigle Royal de Moungo, at 42.3%. The other outcomes represent 57.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.3% · Draw: 27% · Away win: 30.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Aigle Royal de Moungo 1554; APEJES Academy 1630. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Elite One · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:30
Aigle Royal de Moungo
Elo 1554
2
-
1
APEJES Academy
Elo 1630
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-76
Elo rating comparison
Aigle Royal de Moungo1554
APEJES Academy1630
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Aigle Royal de Moungo
—Draws
—APEJES Academy
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
42%
Draw
27%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
42%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.