How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is BEA Mountain, at 69.2%. The other outcomes represent 30.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 69.2% · Draw: 14.4% · Away win: 16.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: BEA Mountain 1764; Gardnersville 1487. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
LFA First Division · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 12:30
BEA Mountain
Elo 1764
5
-
2
Gardnersville
Elo 1487
FT
HT 4-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+276
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
BEA Mountain1764
Gardnersville1487
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4BEA Mountain
0Draws
0Gardnersville
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
CORRECT
Home
69%
Draw
14%
Away
16%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
55%
Draw
30%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.