How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Heaven Eleven, at 63.6%. The other outcomes represent 36.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 63.6% · Draw: 26.6% · Away win: 9.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Heaven Eleven 1629; NPA Anchors 1307. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
LFA First Division · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 12:30
Heaven Eleven
Elo 1629
0
-
1
NPA Anchors
Elo 1307
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+322
Elo rating comparison
Heaven Eleven1629
NPA Anchors1307
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Heaven Eleven
—Draws
—NPA Anchors
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
WRONG
Home
64%
Draw
27%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
WRONG
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
Draw
44%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.