How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Yokohama F. Marinos, at 37.5%. The other outcomes represent 62.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.5% · Draw: 28.6% · Away win: 33.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Yokohama F. Marinos 1821; Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1955. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J-League Cup · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 10:00
Yokohama F. Marinos
Elo 1821
4
-
3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Elo 1955
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-134
Elo rating comparison
Yokohama F. Marinos1821
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1955
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Yokohama F. Marinos
—Draws
—Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
29%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
45%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.