How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Wologizi, at 40.8%. The other outcomes represent 59.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.3% · Draw: 24.9% · Away win: 40.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Gardnersville 1483; Wologizi 1526. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
LFA First Division · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 12:30
Gardnersville
Elo 1483
1
-
1
Wologizi
Elo 1526
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-43
H2H (1)
0H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Gardnersville1483
Wologizi1526
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Gardnersville
1Draws
0Wologizi
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
25%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
Draw
39%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.