How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Loa, at 50.7%. The other outcomes represent 49.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 29.4% · Draw: 19.9% · Away win: 50.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Rawdhah 1456; Al Loa 1543. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 2 · Thursday, Oct 29 2026
· 16:30
Al Rawdhah
Elo 1456
1
-
2
Al Loa
Elo 1543
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-87
Elo rating comparison
Al Rawdhah1456
Al Loa1543
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Al Rawdhah
—Draws
—Al Loa
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
29%
Draw
20%
Away
51%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
38%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.