How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Persiba Balikpapan, at 62.9%. The other outcomes represent 37.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.9% · Draw: 19.2% · Away win: 17.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Persiba Balikpapan 1333; PSBS Biak Numfor 1314. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 2 · Thursday, Oct 29 2026
· 12:00
Persiba Balikpapan
Elo 1333
3
-
1
PSBS Biak Numfor
Elo 1314
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+19
Elo rating comparison
Persiba Balikpapan1333
PSBS Biak Numfor1314
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Persiba Balikpapan
—Draws
—PSBS Biak Numfor
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
63%
Draw
19%
Away
18%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
43%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.