How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Shoalah, at 49.9%. The other outcomes represent 50.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.9% · Draw: 22.4% · Away win: 27.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Shoalah 1454; Al-Washm 1444. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–4. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 2 · Thursday, Oct 29 2026
· 12:10
Al Shoalah
Elo 1454
3
-
4
Al-Washm
Elo 1444
FT
HT 2-3
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+10
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Al Shoalah1454
Al-Washm1444
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Al Shoalah
4Draws
0Al-Washm
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
Draw
22%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
Draw
38%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.