Wofoo Tai Po vs BG Pathum United

AFC Champions League Two · Thursday, 29 Oct 2026 · 12:15

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Wofoo Tai Po, at 42.6%. The other outcomes represent 57.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 42.6% · Draw: 24.8% · Away win: 32.6%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Wofoo Tai Po 1805; BG Pathum United 1870. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 0–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

AFC Champions League Two · Thursday, Oct 29 2026 · 12:15
Wofoo Tai Po
Elo 1805
0 - 3
BG Pathum United
Elo 1870
FT HT 0-3
Home Form (5)
4W 0D 1L
Away Form (5)
3W 1D 1L
Elo Advantage
-64

Elo rating comparison

Wofoo Tai Po1805
BG Pathum United1870

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Wofoo Tai Po
—Draws
—BG Pathum United

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
43% conf. WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
25%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf. WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf. WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf. CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf. WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
60% conf. CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
39% conf. WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
39%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf. CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf. CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf. WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf. CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf. CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf. CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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