How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Baladiyyat Al Mehalla, at 42.5%. The other outcomes represent 57.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.5% · Draw: 27.6% · Away win: 29.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1505; AL Nasr SC 1443. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 12:30
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
Elo 1505
1
-
0
AL Nasr SC
Elo 1443
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+62
Elo rating comparison
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla1505
AL Nasr SC1443
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
—Draws
—AL Nasr SC
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
43%
Draw
28%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
44%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.