How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Haras El Hodood, at 38.0%. The other outcomes represent 62.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.2% · Draw: 26.8% · Away win: 38%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: El Mansura 1556; Haras El Hodood 1584. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League · Thursday, Oct 29 2026
· 12:30
El Mansura
Elo 1556
2
-
1
Haras El Hodood
Elo 1584
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
-27
Elo rating comparison
El Mansura1556
Haras El Hodood1584
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—El Mansura
—Draws
—Haras El Hodood
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
40%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.