How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Pharco, at 49.2%. The other outcomes represent 50.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.2% · Draw: 23.2% · Away win: 27.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pharco 1585; Itesalat 1557. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 12:30
Pharco
Elo 1585
4
-
1
Itesalat
Elo 1557
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+28
Elo rating comparison
Pharco1585
Itesalat1557
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Pharco
—Draws
—Itesalat
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
23%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
42%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.