How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Jerash, at 45.5%. The other outcomes represent 54.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.5% · Draw: 26.3% · Away win: 28.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Jerash 1461; Al Qous 1435. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 2 · Thursday, Oct 29 2026
· 12:35
Jerash
Elo 1461
4
-
0
Al Qous
Elo 1435
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
+27
Elo rating comparison
Jerash1461
Al Qous1435
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Jerash
—Draws
—Al Qous
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
45%
Draw
26%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
Draw
36%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.