How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al-Nassr, at 74.2%. The other outcomes represent 25.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 74.2% · Draw: 15.2% · Away win: 10.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al-Nassr 2046; Al Kholood 1653. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Pro League · Thursday, Oct 29 2026
· 18:00
Al-Nassr
Elo 2046
5
-
3
Al Kholood
Elo 1653
FT
HT 2-2
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+393
Elo rating comparison
Al-Nassr2046
Al Kholood1653
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Al-Nassr
—Draws
—Al Kholood
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
74% conf.
CORRECT
Home
74%
Draw
15%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Half-Time Result
59% conf.
WRONG
Home
59%
Draw
29%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.