How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al-Qadisiyah FC, at 62.0%. The other outcomes represent 38.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20.7% · Draw: 17.4% · Away win: 62%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Riyadh 1649; Al-Qadisiyah FC 2017. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–6. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Pro League · Thursday, Oct 29 2026
· 18:00
Al Riyadh
Elo 1649
0
-
6
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Elo 2017
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-368
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Al Riyadh1649
Al-Qadisiyah FC2017
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Al Riyadh
0Draws
2Al-Qadisiyah FC
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
CORRECT
Home
21%
Draw
17%
Away
62%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
19%
Draw
39%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.