How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gimnasia La Plata Res., at 50.9%. The other outcomes represent 49.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 26.9% · Draw: 22.3% · Away win: 50.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Barracas Central Res. 1361; Gimnasia La Plata Res. 1559. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Thursday, Oct 29 2026
· 18:00
Barracas Central Res.
Elo 1361
1
-
0
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Elo 1559
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-197
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Barracas Central Res.1361
Gimnasia La Plata Res.1559
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Barracas Central Res.
2Draws
0Gimnasia La Plata Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
51%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
19%
Draw
41%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.