How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Nouadhibou, at 61.7%. The other outcomes represent 38.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61.7% · Draw: 23.7% · Away win: 14.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nouadhibou 1812; SNIM 1544. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Thursday, Oct 29 2026
· 19:50
Nouadhibou
Elo 1812
1
-
0
SNIM
Elo 1544
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+267
H2H (2)
1H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Nouadhibou1812
SNIM1544
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Nouadhibou
1Draws
0SNIM
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
CORRECT
Home
62%
Draw
24%
Away
15%
Both Teams to Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
39%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.