How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Olimpia, at 52.4%. The other outcomes represent 47.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 24.5% · Draw: 23.1% · Away win: 52.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sportivo Ameliano 1705; Olimpia 1848. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division Profesional - Clausura · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:00
Sportivo Ameliano
Elo 1705
2
-
3
Olimpia
Elo 1848
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-143
H2H (5)
0H
2D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Sportivo Ameliano1705
Olimpia1848
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Sportivo Ameliano
2Draws
3Olimpia
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
24%
Draw
23%
Away
52%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Away Clean Sheet
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
19%
Draw
40%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.