How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is New Jack, at 39.0%. The other outcomes represent 61.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39% · Draw: 26.3% · Away win: 34.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: New Jack 1439; Etoile de Kivu 1487. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
New Jack
Elo 1439
0
-
0
Etoile de Kivu
Elo 1487
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-48
Elo rating comparison
New Jack1439
Etoile de Kivu1487
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—New Jack
—Draws
—Etoile de Kivu
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
26%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
29%
Draw
47%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.