How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Mk de Kinshasa, at 34.2%. The other outcomes represent 65.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.2% · Draw: 32.8% · Away win: 33%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Mk de Kinshasa 1484; Dauphins Noirs 1566. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 12:00
FC Mk de Kinshasa
Elo 1484
0
-
0
Dauphins Noirs
Elo 1566
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Elo Advantage
-83
Elo rating comparison
FC Mk de Kinshasa1484
Dauphins Noirs1566
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—FC Mk de Kinshasa
—Draws
—Dauphins Noirs
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
34% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
33%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
49%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
HT Over 1.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Over 1.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 3.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.