How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Céleste, at 42.0%. The other outcomes represent 58.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31.2% · Draw: 26.8% · Away win: 42%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Renaissance 1442; Céleste 1491. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 14:00
FC Renaissance
Elo 1442
0
-
0
Céleste
Elo 1491
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
-49
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
FC Renaissance1442
Céleste1491
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0FC Renaissance
0Draws
2Céleste
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
27%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
Draw
39%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.