How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hapoel Ra'anana, at 62.6%. The other outcomes represent 37.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.6% · Draw: 22.3% · Away win: 15%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hapoel Ra'anana 1662; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1507. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
State Cup · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 17:30
Hapoel Ra'anana
Elo 1662
4
-
0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Elo 1507
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+154
Elo rating comparison
Hapoel Ra'anana1662
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm1507
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Hapoel Ra'anana
—Draws
—Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
63%
Draw
22%
Away
15%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
Draw
39%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.