How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ironi Nesher, at 43.5%. The other outcomes represent 56.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.5% · Draw: 21.1% · Away win: 35.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ironi Nesher 1579; Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 1501. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
State Cup · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 17:30
Ironi Nesher
Elo 1579
2
-
1
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
Elo 1501
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+78
Elo rating comparison
Ironi Nesher1579
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon1501
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Ironi Nesher
—Draws
—Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
21%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
27%
Away
43%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.