How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is JSK, at 37.4%. The other outcomes represent 62.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.4% · Draw: 26.6% · Away win: 36%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: JSK 1704; Maniema Union 1787. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Thursday, Oct 29 2026
· 14:00
JSK
Elo 1704
1
-
2
Maniema Union
Elo 1787
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-83
H2H (6)
2H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
JSK1704
Maniema Union1787
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2JSK
4Draws
0Maniema Union
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
27%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
45%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.